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Oil rises on IMF economic growth outlook, OPEC-Russian supply curbs- 23 Jan 2018

Commodity Intraday Tips
Gold Futures Gain in Asia As Trump Signs Bill To Fund Government For 3 Weeks.  
Gold futures gained in Asia on Tuesday with a government shutdown in the US ended for at least three weeks after President Donald Trump signed a continuing funding resolution passed by Congress on Monday. Overnight, gold prices eased from highs as safe-haven demand fell following news that Senators may be near an agreement to end the government shutdown. Also weighing on gold prices was a continued rise in Treasury yields as the United States 10-Year rose to a nearly three-and-half-year high amid growing investor optimism on the outlook of inflation and economic growth. Gold is sensitive to moves in U.S. rates, which lift the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as bullion. Sentiment for gold remains bullish, however, as data showed traders continued to increase their bullish bets on gold for the fifth week in a row.  

SHFE nickel outperforms on lower inventory. 
The SHFE 1805 nickel contract led the performance of nonferrous metals as of Monday January 22 with a 1.8% gain as inventories fell for the first time in three weeks. Higher nickel prices were driven by tight supply in the short term including the maintenance work at Jiangsu Delong and the fire accident at Jinchuan Group, according to Jinrui Futures analyst Hu Xiaoyu. Demand, on the other hand, has improved from the battery sector. 

Zinc prices gained as optimism over the outlook for global growth and supply concerns supported prices
Zinc on MCX settled up 0.41% at 219.90 on fresh buying as support seen from LME zinc which is holding well above $3400 mark a tonne after prices peaked to the 10-year high of $3444 seen on Friday as optimism over the outlook for global growth and supply concerns. On-warrant stocks available to the market slipped to their lowest in six months. Falling stockpiles and pollution alerts in top metals producer China fuelled supply concerns and helped to drive zinc and lead prices to multi-year highs. Demand for metals looked strong after data showed economic growth in China, the world's biggest consumer, accelerated for the first time in seven years. A weak dollar makes metals cheaper for holders of other currencies and supports prices.  

Oil rises on IMF economic growth outlook, OPEC-Russian supply curbs.  
Oil prices rose on Tuesday, lifted by healthy economic growth as well as the ongoing supply restraint by a group of exporters around OPEC and Russia.Traders said oil markets were generally well supported by healthy economic growth.The "economic outlook and seasonally colder weather has led to firmer oil demand growth, facilitating the continuation of a fall in oil inventories toward OPEC's recent five-year average target," BNP Paribas (PA:BNPP) said in a note. This growth, which is also translating into more oil consumption, comes at a time of supply curbs by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and Russia, which began in January last year and are set to hold throughout 2018. 

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Nickel prices gained buoyed by the first acceleration in China's GDP growth in seven years- 22 Jan 2018

Gold Prices Inch Up In Asia As US Shutdown Weighs On Dollar Views.  
Gold prices rose slightly in Asia on Monday with the market awaiting word on a possible deal for a Senate vote to end the US government shutdown that has weighed on the dollar and raised interest in greenback-denominated commodities such as the yellow metal. The US government shutdown on Saturday extends into the new week with all but essential services curbed and many of the regularly schedule data releases possibly delayed if the failure to provide stopgap funding continues. The Bank of Japan starts a two-day monetary policy meeting with the decision on Tuesday expected to be closely watched for any signs the aggressive easing stance could be dialed back this year. Investors will be focused on the outcome of monetary policy meetings by the ECB and fourth quarter growth from both the U.S., if it is released during the shutdown, and the UK. Canadian inflation data will also be in focus after last week's rate hike by the country’s central bank. 

Historical data show dip in LME aluminium prices following US government shutdowns
Historical data show a dip in LME aluminium prices following US government shutdowns from 1990. From October 5-9, 1990, LME aluminium fell 2.3%, or $43/mt, that week when President George Herbert Walker Bush vowed to deny any sustainable bills excluding deficit cut scheme, which leads to four-day shutdown of the government. LME aluminium fell 2.3%, or $43/mt, that week. LME aluminium dipped 0.1%, or $2/mt, in the week of November 13-19, 1995 when the government shut down for five days. 

Nickel prices gained buoyed by the first acceleration in China's GDP growth in seven years
Nickel on MCX settled up 1.55% at 807.8 buoyed by the first acceleration in China's GDP growth in seven years. China's economy grew faster than expected in the fourth quarter of 2017, as an export recovery helped the country post its first annual acceleration in growth in seven years. The decline in nickel ore shipments to China from the Philippines was mainly due to bad weather in Tawi-Tawi while the impact of environmental protection issues in Zambales was rather small. News reports suggested that four nickel ore miners in Zambales were involved in local environmental disputes and shipments from the region have been affected. 

Oil rises as Saudi Arabia says producers will cooperate beyond 2018.  
Oil prices climbed on Monday, pushed higher by comments from Saudi Arabia that cooperation between oil producers who are currently withholding supplies would continue beyond 2018. Strong global economic growth and a drop in U.S. drilling activity also supported crude, traders said.Saudi Arabia, the world's top oil exporter and de-facto leader of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), said on Sunday major oil producers were in agreement they should continue cooperating on production after their deal on supply cuts expires this year. "There is a readiness to continue cooperation beyond 2018...The mechanism hasn't been determined yet, but there is a consensus to continue," Saudi Arabia's Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said in Oman. 

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CapitalStars On CNBC Awaaz, Kamyabi Ki Raah

CapitalStars Award Winning , SEBI registered , ISO certified investment advisory company. We provide intraday & positional services in equity , derivative ,commodity & currency. Our research team is highly skilled & experienced please contact 0731-6690000.. Visit Our Site- http://capitalstars.com/video-gallery

Investment & trading in securities market is always subjected to market risks, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647

Zinc gains as support seen after China's economy grew faster than expected in the fourth quarter of 2017- 19 Jan 2018

Commodity Intraday Tips
Gold Prices Gain In Asia On Weaker Dollar, Markets Eye US Budget Process. 
Gold prices gained in Asia on Friday as a weaker dollar brought physical demand into the market. Gold prices eased from four-month highs as US yields rose sharply after strong growth data from China and amid expectations that inflation would soon gather pace. Yields on United States 10-Year reached a ten-month high amid strong China economic growth data and rising expectations for faster inflation growth, which pressured gold prices to retreat from four-month highs. Gold is sensitive to moves in U.S. rates, which lift the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as bullion. Despite the bank’s warning, traders remain bullish on the yellow metal as data last week showed they increased their bullish bets on gold for the fourth-straight week.

Zinc gains as support seen after China's economy grew faster than expected in the fourth quarter of 2017.
Zinc on MCX settled up 0.14% at 217.70 as support seen after China's economy grew faster than expected in the fourth quarter of 2017. Rising supplies of zinc over the next couple of years are unlikely to replenish dwindling inventories to the extent that the market stops fretting about shortages and driving up prices towards the peaks seen in 2017. China's economy grew faster than expected in the fourth quarter of 2017, as an export recovery helped the country post its first annual acceleration in growth in seven years.

Nickel prices gained as support seen with better-than-expected China economic data.
Nickel on MCX settled up 0.67% at 795.50 as support seen with better-than-expected China economic data. China’s economy grew faster than expected in the fourth quarter, helped by a rebound in the industrial sector, a resilient property market and strong export growth. China’s housing market picked up slightly in December, but price growth more than halved in 2017 as government curbs on speculation took effect. Nickel saw a deficit from January to November 2017 with demand exceeding production by 63,600 mt. 

Oil prices fall over 1 percent on recovery in U.S. output. 
Oil prices dropped more than 1 percent on Friday as a bounce-back in U.S. production outweighed ongoing declines in crude inventories. If Friday's falls last, this week will see the biggest weekly price declines since October.Traders said the lower prices were prompted by a recovery in U.S. oil production after a recent drop, as well as by an expected fall in demand when winter ends in the northern hemisphere. U.S. crude oil production stood at 9.75 million barrels per day (bpd) on Jan. 12, data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed. Output had fallen to 9.49 million barrels at the start of the year, due largely to a cold snap that shut down some production. Most analysts expect U.S. output to break through 10 million barrels per day soon.

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Zinc dropped on profit booking ahead of the release of data that is expected to show China’s economic growth- 18 Jan 2018

Commodity Intraday Tips
Gold Prices Fall In Asia On Profit Taking, Mild Dollar Rebound
Gold prices fell in Asia on Thursday in profit taking and after a mild dollar rebound  overnight. Overnight, gold prices remained close to four-month highs on Wednesday amid expectations the precious metal would likely ‘shrug off’ rate hike worries while dollar weakness limited downside. In a rising interest rate environment, investor appetite for gold weakens as the opportunity cost of holding the precious metal increases relative to other interest-nearing assets such as bonds.

Copper prices dropped as traders locked in profits ahead of Lunar New Year.
Copper on MCX settled down -1.26% at 450.75 on fresh selling resumed its decline as some speculators took profits from a December rally and others went short after prices broke below technical levels. Copper surged 12 percent during its December rally and has since eased back by about 3 percent. Prices turned weak as uncertainty about supply in the market because of Chinese import restrictions on copper scrap and labour contract talks at several mines, including the huge Escondida mine. Pressure also seen after the report that  futures brokerage Gelin Dahua has cut its long position on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (ShFE) April copper contract by 75 percent over the past two days, according to Reuters calculations based on ShFE data.

Zinc dropped on profit booking ahead of the release of data that is expected to show China’s economic growth  slowed in the fourth quarter.
Zinc on MCX settled down -1.14% at 217.40 as prices failed to hold 220 level on MCX and prices were under pressured after Chinese iron ore futures fell for a fifth day running to 2-1/2 week lows. Prices have been pressured by low demand in the world‘s biggest consuming nation amid ongoing curbs on steel production in a campaign against smog. Zinc had the largest speculative net long position on the LME with 18.5 percent of open interest as of Friday. Meanwhile Zinc premiums remained stable across global markets, with the backwardation in London Metal Exchange zinc spreads and high prices choking interest, while the premium for 99.99% lead ingots in the United States saw the first adjustment in four months.

Oil up on threats of rebel attacks in Nigeria, falling US crude stocks
Oil prices rose on Thursday on a reported decline in U.S. crude inventories, and as rebels in Nigeria threatened to attack the country's petroleum infrastructure. However, prices stayed below recent three-year highs as fuel supplies remain ample and as refineries scaled back operations.Traders said prices had been pushed up after reports that Nigeria's militant group Niger Delta Avengers threatened to launch attacks on the country's oil sector in the next few days. Markets were also supported by a drop in available crude inventories. "Prices ... rallied on the back of noticeable de-stocking of crude inventories," said Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at future brokerage Forex.com. 

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Copper dropped as worries lingered over fading demand in China before the Lunar New Year- 17 Jan 2018

Commodity Intraday Tips
Gold Prices Up in Asia As Trending Weaker Dollar Aids Sentiment - 
Gold prices gained in Asia on Wednesday with a weaker dollar helping demand for the precious metal priced in the US currency. Overnight, gold prices traded roughly unchanged on Tuesday, shrugging off a rebound in the dollar from three-year lows as data showed traders remained bullish on the precious metal despite the uptick in demand for riskier assets. Gold prices remained close to four-month highs amid ongoing demand for the yellow metal as data showed traders increased their bullish bets on gold for the fourth-straight week. Gold’s strong start to the year comes against continued risk-on sentiment as global equities extended their gains from 2017, rising to all-time highs. Some market participants, however, said they expected the yellow metal to range trade in 2018 amid expectations of additional Federal Reserve rate hikes this year. In a rising interest rate environment, investor appetite for gold weakens as the opportunity cost of holding the precious metal increases relative to other interest-bearing assets such as bonds.

Copper dropped as worries lingered over fading demand in China before the Lunar New Year - 
Copper on MCX settled down -0.5% at 456.50 as LME Copper dropped 1.8% to settle at $7,078 a ton marking the biggest drop since Dec. 5. Rising stockpiles this year and LME spot prices trading below futures suggest that buyers aren't rushing to secure copper as factories ramp up. The metal advanced 7.2% in December, capping the biggest annual gain in eight years, but has started to retreat this month. Prices are down 2.3% so far in 2018. Sentiments capped as report shows that copper market are in surplus for 2018 of 48,000 tonnes forecast by BMO Capital Markets could be wiped out if wage negotiations at mines in top producers Chile and Peru lead to strikes that disrupt supplies. A deal on labour conditions at Escondida in Chile, the world’s largest copper mine, expires in June. Also China, the world’s largest consumer, could also suck in massive amounts of refined copper if authorities there aggressively enforce restrictions on imports of scrap. 

Oil prices edge up on tighter supplies, healthy demand - 
Oil prices rose on Wednesday on tightening supply and strong global demand, although some analysts warned of a downward correction after a more than 13-percent price rise in a month. Prices have been driven up by production curbs in OPEC nations and Russia, as well as by healthy demand-growth.In an effort to tighten markets and prop up prices, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and Russia started to withhold production in January last year, and the cuts are set to last through 2018. This restraint has coincided with healthy oil demand and economic growth, pushing up crude prices by more than 13 percent since early December. "Oil remains underpinned by the solid economy with strong oil demand tightening global oil inventories. The past years' surplus supplies are slowly disappearing," said Norbert Ruecker, head of commodity research at Swiss bank Julius Baer.

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